Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

676
WTPZ25 KNHC 090845
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202026
0900 UTC FRI OCT 09 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 104.5W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 104.5W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 104.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.1N 104.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.7N 104.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.6N 105.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.6N 105.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 19.9N 105.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.4N 105.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 23.7N 106.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 24.9N 106.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 104.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 09/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z