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HURRICANE ISAIAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092026
0300 UTC FRI OCT 09 2026
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAIAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
APALACHICOLA 34 X 25(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
GFAM 290N 850W 34 X 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 61(61) 2(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 X 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
PANAMA CITY FL 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 81(81) 7(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X 25(25) 13(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
DOTHAN AL 34 X 8( 8) 10(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 1( 1) 35(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WHITING FLD FL 34 X 75(75) 17(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
WHITING FLD FL 50 X 21(21) 29(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
WHITING FLD FL 64 X 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X 84(84) 10(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
PENSACOLA FL 50 X 32(32) 23(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
PENSACOLA FL 64 X 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
GFAM 290N 870W 34 9 91(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFAM 290N 870W 50 X 89(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
GFAM 290N 870W 64 X 60(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
MOBILE AL 34 X 29(29) 15(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
MOBILE AL 50 X 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GULFPORT MS 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GFAM 280N 890W 34 34 10(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)