Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

145
WTPZ25 KNHC 082031
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202026
2100 UTC THU OCT 08 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 103.9W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 103.9W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 103.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.1N 104.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.8N 104.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.7N 105.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.8N 104.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.9N 104.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 21.1N 104.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 23.2N 105.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 103.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 09/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z