Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

847
WTPZ25 KNHC 081435
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202026
1500 UTC THU OCT 08 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 103.3W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 103.3W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 103.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 15.5N 104.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.1N 104.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.9N 105.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.6N 105.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.7N 105.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.7N 105.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 22.2N 105.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 25.1N 106.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 103.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 08/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z