Hurricane Local Statement
104
WTUS84 KMOB 080317
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-081130-
Tropical Storm Isaias Local Statement Advisory Number 6
National Weather Service Mobile AL AL092026
1017 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026
This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.
**ISAIAS NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Hurricane Watch has been upgraded to a Hurricane Warning
and the Storm Surge Watch has been upgraded to a Storm Surge
Warning for Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal,
Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa
Rosa Coastal
- The Hurricane Watch has been upgraded to a Hurricane Warning
for Baldwin Inland, Escambia Inland, Mobile Inland, Okaloosa
Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, Mobile
Central, Mobile Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa
Coastal
- A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Baldwin Inland, Escambia
Inland, Mobile Inland, Okaloosa Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland
- A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Conecuh, Covington, and
Escambia
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Butler, Clarke,
Crenshaw, George, Greene, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 590 miles south-southwest of Mobile AL or about 600 miles
south-southwest of Pensacola FL
- 22.9N 91.9W
- Storm Intensity 70 mph
- Movement East-northeast or 70 degrees at 9 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Tropical Storm Isaias has strengthened to near hurricane strength
and is forecast to become a hurricane soon. Isaias is moving to the
east-northeast and will gradually turn northward through Friday,
continuing to strengthen in the process. Isaias is expected to be a
strong hurricane as it approaches the northern Gulf coast Friday
night. As Isaias approaches the coast, the wind field will expand
with the potential for significant wind impacts and a life
threatening storm surge, especially along and to the east of where
Isaias makes landfall. There still remains uncertainty with the
eventual speed and track of Isaias, so everyone should continue to
closely monitor the latest forecast.
Areas of heavy rainfall and flooding are possible mainly Friday
and Friday night, with anticipated rainfall amounts of 3 to 6
inches with the highest amounts on the eastern side of the storm.
Localized amounts up to 10 inches are possible near the coast.
In addition, a favorable environment for tornadoes will also
develop Friday night into early Saturday morning to the north
and east of where the center of Isaias tracks.
Please continue to monitor the latest forecast updates and follow
the advice of your local emergency management officials.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible extensive impacts
across the Alabama and western Florida panhandle coasts. Potential
impacts in this area include:
- Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings,
with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating
debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
- Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
- Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many
small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.
Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi,
little to no impact is anticipated.
* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive
impacts across southwest and portions of south central Alabama and
the western Florida panhandle. Potential impacts in this area
include:
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.
Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible significant
impacts across southeast Mississippi and the remainder of southwest
Alabama.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi. Potential
impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across coastal Alabama and the western Florida
panhandle. Potential impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across interior areas of southwest and south central Alabama.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible.
Allow extra time to reach your destination. Many roads and bridges
will be closed once strong winds arrive. Check the latest weather
forecast before departing and drive with caution.
Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.
Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or mobilecountyema.gov
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or myescambia.com/beready
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or myokaloosa.com/emergency-management
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 4 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.