Hurricane Local Statement

598
WTUS84 KLIX 072102
HLSLIX
LAZ070-076-078-091-MSZ084>088-080515-

Tropical Storm Isaias Local Statement Advisory Number 5
National Weather Service New Orleans LA  AL092026
402 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

This product covers Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi

...ISAIAS QUICKLY INTENSIFYING, FORECAST TO BE A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY 
MORNING...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Storm Surge Watch has been cancelled for Upper St. Bernard

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch are in effect for 
      Southern Harrison and Southern Jackson
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for 
      Eastern Orleans, Lower Plaquemines, Lower St. Bernard, 
      Southeast St. Tammany, and Southern Hancock
    - A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Northern Harrison and 
      Northern Jackson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 530 miles south-southwest of New Orleans LA or about 580 
      miles south-southwest of Gulfport MS
    - 22.7N 92.9W
    - Storm Intensity 65 mph
    - Movement East-northeast or 65 degrees at 8 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Isaias is currently in the southwest Gulf and will
continue to strengthen as it moves to the east-northeast and
eventually the northeast through Friday. Tropical Storm Isaias is
forecast to bring the threat of tropical storm force wind gusts,
locally heavy rainfall, and storm surge of 3 to 5 feet to coastal
portions of southeast Louisiana from the mouth of the Mississippi
River to the Rigolets and from Bay Saint Louis westward in coastal
Mississippi. Isaias is forecast to bring the threat of hurricane force
wind gusts, locally heavy rainfall, and storm surge of 5 to 7 feet
from Bay Saint Louis eastward in coastal Mississippi. The most likely
time for impacts will be Friday into Saturday. 

Storm surge watches are in effect from the mouth of the Mississippi
River to the Alabama and Mississippi state line. Hurricane watches are
in effect from Ocean Springs to the Alabama and Mississippi state
line. Tropical storm watches are in effect from the Jefferson and
Plaquemine Parish line in southeast Louisiana to Ocean Springs in
coastal Mississippi.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts 
for locations east of Ocean Springs in coastal Mississippi. Potential 
impacts in this area include:
    - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having 
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural 
      damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed. 
      Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be 
      uninhabitable for weeks.
    - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and 
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban 
      or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and 
      access routes impassable.
    - Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, prepare for dangerous wind having possible limited to 
significant impacts for locations west of Ocean Springs in coastal 
Mississippi and for extreme coastal portions of southeast Louisiana 
from the mouth of the Mississippi River eastward.

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible extensive impacts 
for coastal locations east of Ocean Springs in coastal Mississippi. 
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding 
      accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings, 
      with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating 
      debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
    - Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads 
      washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and 
      barriers may become stressed.
    - Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
    - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many 
      small craft broken away from moorings, especially in 
      unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.

Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible significant 
impacts for coastal locations west of Ocean Springs in coastal 
Mississippi and for locations outside of the hurricane risk reduction 
system in southeast Louisiana from the Pearl River south to the mouth 
of the Mississippi.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant 
impacts for locations east of Ocean Springs in coastal Mississippi. 
Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and 
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter 
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially 
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and 
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations. 
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid 
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage 
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as 
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions 
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible 
limited impacts across the remainder of coastal Mississippi.

Elsewhere across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi, little to 
no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

Follow the advice of local officials.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies 
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your 
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the 
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging 
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the 
center of the storm. 

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large 
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or 
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as 
near the ocean, in a low-lying or poor drainage area, plan to 
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded 
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of 
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness 
activities to become unsafe.

Be sure to let friends and family members know of your intentions for 
weathering the storm and your whereabouts. Have someone located away 
from the threatened area serve as your point of contact. Share vital 
contact information with others. Keep cell phones handy and charged.

Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are 
unable to make personal preparations.

If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which 
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and 
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their 
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially 
pertaining to area visitors.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news 
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes 
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather 
Service in New Orleans LA around 11 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions 
warrant.