Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

850
WTPZ25 KNHC 072038
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202026
2100 UTC WED OCT 07 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 101.6W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 101.6W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 101.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.9N 102.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.3N 104.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.6N 104.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.0N 105.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.8N 105.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.9N 105.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 21.2N 105.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 23.6N 106.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 101.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z