Hurricane Local Statement
598
WTUS84 KMOB 071632
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-080045-
Tropical Storm Isaias Local Statement Advisory Number 4
National Weather Service Mobile AL AL092026
1132 AM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026
This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.
**HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST FOR STRENGTHENING ISAIAS**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch have been issued for
Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, Mobile
Central, Mobile Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa
Coastal
- A Hurricane Watch has been issued for Baldwin Inland, Escambia
Inland, Mobile Inland, Okaloosa Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, Mobile
Central, Mobile Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa
Coastal
- A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Baldwin Inland, Escambia
Inland, Mobile Inland, Okaloosa Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 660 miles south-southwest of Mobile AL or about 680 miles
southwest of Pensacola FL
- 22.4N 93.6W
- Storm Intensity 45 mph
- Movement East-northeast or 70 degrees at 8 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Tropical Storm Isaias continues to organize across the southwestern
Gulf and is expected to strengthen through through Friday morning.
Isaias is currently moving east-northeast and should eventually turn
northward and accelerate towards the north central Gulf coast. As it
nears the coast, wind fields will expand with the potential for
significant wind impacts and a life threatening storm surge along and
to the east of where the hurricane makes landfall. There still remains
uncertainty with the eventual speed and track of the hurricane so
everyone should continue to closely monitor the latest forecast over
the next few days.
Areas of heavy rainfall and flooding are possible although with the
fast speed of the hurricane at landfall we are currently expecting 3 to
6 inches with localized amounts up to 10 inches near the coast. In
addition, a favorable environment for tornadoes will also develop to
the east of the track as it moves inland Friday through Saturday.
Please continue to monitor the latest forecast updates and follow the
advise of your local emergency management officials.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible extensive impacts
across the Alabama and western Florida panhandle coasts. Potential
impacts in this area include:
- Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings,
with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating
debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
- Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
- Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many
small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.
Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.
* WIND:
Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts
across coastal Alabama and the western Florida panhandle. Potential
impacts in this area include:
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.
Also, prepare for dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across interior portions of southwest and south
central Alabama.
* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
coastal southwest Alabama, the western Florida panhandle, and portions
of southwest and south central Alabama. Potential impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across coastal Alabama and the western Florida
panhandle. Potential impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across interior areas of southwest and south central Alabama.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.
When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or mobilecountyema.gov
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or myescambia.com/beready
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or myokaloosa.com/emergency-management
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 5 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.