Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

051
WTPZ25 KNHC 071456
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202026
1500 UTC WED OCT 07 2026
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 100.9W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 100.9W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 100.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 14.6N 102.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.0N 103.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 15.3N 104.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.8N 104.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.4N 105.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.2N 105.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 19.7N 105.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 22.0N 106.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 100.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z