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TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092026
1500 UTC WED OCT 07 2026
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) X(33) X(33)
APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFAM 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) X(30) X(30)
GFAM 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GFAM 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 50(50) X(50) X(50)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) X(19) X(19)
PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 51(51) 1(52) X(52)
DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23)
DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ALBANY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
DOTHAN AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 1(19) X(19)
DOTHAN AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 6(17) X(17)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 2(26) X(26)
MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 54(54) 1(55) X(55)
WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) X(25) X(25)
WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 57(57) 1(58) X(58)
PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 1(30) X(30)
PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10)
GFAM 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 73(81) X(81) X(81)
GFAM 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 54(55) X(55) X(55)
GFAM 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 34(35) X(35) X(35)
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 41(41) 1(42) X(42)
MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 1(17) X(17)
MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) X(24) X(24)
GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11)
GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15)
STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) X(17) X(17)
BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BURAS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GFAM 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) 26(26) 23(49) 1(50) X(50)
GFAM 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 21(29) X(29) X(29)
GFAM 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) X(18) X(18)
JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
HOUMA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFAM 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)