Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

002
WTNT24 KNHC 071452
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092026
1500 UTC WED OCT 07 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  93.6W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE  40SW  40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  93.6W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  93.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 22.7N  92.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 23.4N  90.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.6N  89.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 26.6N  88.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  55SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 29.2N  87.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 32.2N  87.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 38.0N  87.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N  93.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 07/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z