Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

835
ABPZ20 KNHC 071137
TWOEP 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Oct 7 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of 
the Baja California Peninsula. 
South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located offshore of southern Mexico are becoming 
better organized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
gradual development, and this system is expected to become a 
tropical depression within a day or so. The disturbance should 
continue to move slowly west-northwestward to northwestward for the 
next few days. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is forecast 
across portions of southern and southwestern Mexico through this 
week. Interests along the coast of southwestern Mexico should 
monitor the progress of this system. For additional information, 
including Storm Warnings, see High Seas forecasts issued by the 
National Weather Service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala during the early portion of next week. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this 
system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward around 
10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php