Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

527
ABPZ20 KNHC 061711
TWOEP 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Oct 6 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. 
South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
A broad area of low pressure located offshore of southern Mexico is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the 
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. Regardless 
of development, heavy rainfall is expected across portions of 
southern and southwestern Mexico over the next few days. Interests 
along the coast of southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress 
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system thereafter while it 
moves generally west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.