Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

217
WTPZ23 KNHC 061444
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
1500 UTC TUE OCT 06 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 119.5W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 119.5W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 119.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 20.6N 120.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.0N 121.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.5N 123.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.0N 124.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.4N 125.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.8N 125.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 24.2N 123.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 27.7N 119.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 119.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z