Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

823
ABNT20 KNHC 061131
TWOAT 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 6 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Southwestern Gulf of America (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in 
association with a broad area of low pressure located over the 
southwestern Gulf of America. Continued development of this system 
is expected, and a tropical depression is anticipated to form over 
the next day or so while it drifts eastward. The low pressure area 
could bring gusty winds and areas of heavy rain to the western 
portions of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico in a couple of days. 
The disturbance is expected to turn to the north or northeast toward 
the northern Gulf Coast by the end of the week. It is still too 
early to determine specific impacts to the northern Gulf Coast, but 
interests from the Florida Panhandle to Louisiana should closely 
monitor the progress of this system. The NOAA Gulfstream is 
scheduled to sample the environment over the Gulf later today and an 
Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the 
system tomorrow.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.