Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

331
ABNT20 KNHC 051728
TWOAT 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Southwestern Gulf of America (AL92):
A trough of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of America is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although 
environmental conditions appear to be marginally conducive, gradual 
development is becoming more likely, and a tropical depression is 
expected to form during the middle portion of the week. This system 
is expected to drift eastward over the next couple of days, before 
it turns northward. It is too early to determine the specific 
impacts to the northern Gulf Coast, but interests there should 
closely monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.