Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

204
ABNT20 KNHC 051138
TWOAT 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Southwestern Gulf of America:
A trough of low pressure in the southwestern Gulf of America is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although 
environmental conditions appear to be marginally conducive, gradual 
development is becoming more likely, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form during the middle or latter portion of the week. This 
system is expected to drift eastward over the next few days, before 
it turns northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.