Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

653
ABPZ20 KNHC 050507
TWOEP 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Oct 4 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California Peninsula. 
South of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located just to the south of the Gulf 
of Tehuantepec is currently producing scattered showers and 
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear favorable for 
gradual development, and a tropical depression is expected to form 
during the middle to latter portion of the week while the system 
moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward, just offshore of 
the southern to southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.