Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

072
WTPZ23 KNHC 030239
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
0300 UTC SAT OCT 03 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 111.5W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  35SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE 120SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 240SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 111.5W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 111.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.5N 112.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.8N 112.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.1N 113.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.2N 114.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.4N 116.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.7N 117.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 21.2N 121.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 22.1N 124.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 111.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z