Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

382
WTPZ23 KNHC 022031
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
2100 UTC FRI OCT 02 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 111.1W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  35SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE 120SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 240SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 111.1W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 110.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.4N 111.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.7N 112.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.0N 113.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 114.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.3N 115.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.5N 116.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 21.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 22.0N 123.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 111.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z