Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

817
WTPA32 PHFO 021447
TCPCP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nolo Advisory Number  48
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP152026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Fri Oct 02 2026
 
...NOLO ALMOST A HURRICANE AGAIN...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 167.2W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SE OF MARO REEF
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Nihoa to
Lisianski Island, including French Frigate Shoals and Maro Reef
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within the next 36 hours.
 
Additional watches and warnings may be required for portions of the
Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument during the weekend.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nolo was
located near latitude 23.2 North, longitude 167.2 West. Nolo is
moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A westward or 
west-northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is 
expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the 
center of Nolo will continue to move through the Papahanaumokuakea 
Marine National Monument but remain just south of the Northwestern 
Hawaiian Islands west of French Frigate Shoals.
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast, and Nolo 
is expected to become a hurricane later today and a major hurricane 
by early Sunday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical
Storm Warning area from Nihoa to Maro Reef through early Saturday.
Farther west, tropical storm conditions are expected from Maro Reef
to Lisianski Island by Saturday.
 
SURF: Large surf associated with Nolo will continue to affect the
Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument over the next several
days. These large waves will likely inundate some of the low-lying
atolls, especially from French Frigate Shoals to Maro Reef into the
weekend, then from Maro Reef to Lisianski Island during the weekend.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM HST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.