Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

425
WTPZ23 KNHC 011447
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
1500 UTC THU OCT 01 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 109.6W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 300SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 109.6W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 109.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.7N 110.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.8N 110.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.1N 112.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.3N 113.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.4N 114.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 20.5N 117.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 20.6N 120.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 109.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z