Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

494
ABPZ20 KNHC 011140
TWOEP 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Oct 1 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Nolo, located several hundred miles west of Lihue, Hawaii, on 
Hurricane Rachel, located about a couple of hundred miles south of 
Baja California Sur and on Tropical Depression Nineteen-E, located 
well west-southwest of the Baja California Peninsula.
South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form late this weekend or early next 
week south of the southern coast of Mexico. Thereafter, 
environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development, 
and a tropical depression is likely form while the system moves 
slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.