Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

849
WTPZ23 KNHC 010849
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
0900 UTC THU OCT 01 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.3W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 330SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.3W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 109.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.6N 109.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.8N 110.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.9N 111.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.2N 112.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.4N 113.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.5N 114.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.6N 116.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 20.7N 119.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 109.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z