Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

051
WTPA32 PHFO 300836
TCPCP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nolo Advisory Number  39
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP152026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Tue Sep 29 2026
 
...NOLO CONTINUES TO BRING DANGEROUS CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...
...NOLO NOW TURNING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.4N 164.6W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 335 MI...535 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The Hurricane Warning from Nihoa to French Frigate Shoals has been
changed to a Tropical Storm Warning.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Nihoa to
French Frigate Shoals
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from French Frigate
Shoals to Maro Reef
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case
overnight through Wednesday.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
Additional watches and warnings may be required for additional
portions of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument later
this week.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nolo was
located near latitude 22.4 North, longitude 164.6 West. Nolo is 
moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). Nolo is moving 
west-northwestward across the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National 
Monument and is expected to turn westward overnight or early 
Wednesday. A generally westward motion is expected through the 
latter part of the week.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Further weakening is forecast over the next day 
or so, followed by some re-intensification during the latter part of 
this week.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical 
Storm Warning area from Nihoa to French Frigate Shoals overnight 
through Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the 
Tropical Storm Watch area from French Frigate Shoals to Maro Reef by 
Thursday.
 
RAINFALL: Outer bands east of Nolo’s track will produce 3 to 6 
inches of rain across Kauai and Niihau through Thursday. This 
rainfall could produce areas of flooding and mudslides, especially 
in areas of steep terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Nolo,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_cp2.shtml?rainqpf
 
SURF: Swells generated by Nolo will affect south- and west-facing
shores of the main Hawaiian Islands for the next few days. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Large surf associated with Nolo will continue to affect
the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument over the next several
days. These large waves will likely inundate some of the low-lying
atolls, especially from French Frigate Shoals to Nihoa. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM HST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.