Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

381
WTPZ23 KNHC 292040
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
2100 UTC TUE SEP 29 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 105.7W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  65SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 240SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 105.7W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 105.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.3N 107.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 65NE  70SE  65SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 140SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.2N 108.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  65SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 19.0N 108.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  60SW  55NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.4N 109.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.6N 110.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  55SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.8N 111.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 20.2N 112.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 20.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 105.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPEP3...AT 30/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z