Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

830
WTPZ23 KNHC 280244
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
0300 UTC MON SEP 28 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  99.8W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  80SE  80SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS.... 75NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  99.8W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  99.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 13.3N 100.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 14.2N 102.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  10NW.
34 KT...160NE 100SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 15.2N 104.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...160NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.4N 106.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.5N 107.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 18.4N 108.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 19.1N 109.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 20.0N 109.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N  99.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPEP3...AT 28/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z