Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

700
WTPZ23 KNHC 272035
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
2100 UTC SUN SEP 27 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  99.1W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  99.1W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  98.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 13.1N  99.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 13.9N 101.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 14.9N 103.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 15.8N 105.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 16.8N 106.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.7N 107.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 18.7N 108.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 19.3N 109.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N  99.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z