Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

686
WTPA32 PHFO 272033
TCPCP2
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Nolo Advisory Number  29
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP152026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Sun Sep 27 2026
 
...NOLO CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 159.3W
ABOUT 700 MI...1125 KM SE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM SSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
A Hurricane Watch has been issued for the Papahanaumokuakea Marine
National Monument from Nihoa to French Frigate Shoals.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Nihoa to
French Frigate Shoals.
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.
 
Additional watches may be required for portions of the 
Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nolo was located 
near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 159.3 West. Nolo is moving 
toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the northwest 
is expected by tonight, with this general motion continuing through 
Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Nolo will remain well 
south and southwest of the main Hawaiian Islands but will approach 
the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument in a couple of days.
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 115 mph (185 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Nolo is a category 3 hurricane on the 
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Nolo is forecast to 
strengthen further and reach its peak intensity by Monday. 
In about 2 days, a gradual weakening trend is expected to 
begin.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure based on aircraft data is 
966 mb (28.53 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Nolo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP2 and WMO header WTPA42 PHFO.
 
WIND: Strong and gusty winds are possible for the main Hawaiian 
Islands through this afternoon. Hurricane conditions are possible in 
the Hurricane Watch area in the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National 
Monument by Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions possible by 
Tuesday. Strong and gusty winds are expected for all the Hawaiian 
Island through today.

SURF: Swells generated by Nolo are affecting exposed east- and 
south-facing shores of the main Hawaiian Islands through the next 
few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and 
rip current conditions. Large surf associated with Nolo will affect 
the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument beginning on Monday. 
These large waves will likely inundate some of the low-lying atolls, 
especially from French Frigate Shoals to Nihoa. Please consult 
products from your local weather office.
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM HST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.