Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

152
WTPZ23 KNHC 270854
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
0900 UTC SUN SEP 27 2026
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  99.1W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  99.1W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  98.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 12.7N  99.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 13.2N 100.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 13.8N 102.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 14.7N 104.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 15.7N 105.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 16.9N 107.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 18.7N 109.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 19.7N 110.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N  99.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z