Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

702
WTPA32 PHFO 270254
TCPCP2
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Nolo Advisory Number  26
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP152026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Sat Sep 26 2026
 
...NOLO NOW MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE WEST...
...GUSTY WINDS, HEAVY RAIN, AND LARGE WAVES CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 156.5W
ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM SSW OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM SSE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued for Hawaii County,
and the Tropical Storm Watch has been discontinued for Maui County.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely monitor the
progress of this system. Watches may be required for portions
of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument on Sunday.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nolo was located
near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 156.5 West. Nolo is moving
toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this motion is expected to
continue through Sunday. A turn toward the northwest is expected
Sunday night, with this general motion continuing through Tuesday.
On the forecast track, the center of Nolo will remain well south
and southwest of the main Hawaiian Islands.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Nolo is predicted to strengthen into a major hurricane on 
Sunday or Sunday night and reach its peak intensity by Monday. 
Thereafter, steady weakening is expected.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Nolo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP2 and WMO header WTPA42 PHFO.
 
WIND: Strong and gusty winds are possible for all of the Hawaiian 
Islands through the weekend, although the core winds of Nolo will 
stay to the south.
 
RAINFALL: For the eastern and southern portions of the Big Island,
Nolo will produce additional rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches, with
isolated maximum amounts of 4 inches. Storm totals through Sunday
will range between 10 and 15 inches with isolated maximum amounts of
20 inches. Additional areas of flooding and mudslides will be
possible, especially in areas of steep terrain.
 
For the western portions of the Big Island, rainfall totals of an
inch or less are expected. For eastern Maui, additional rainfall
totals of 1 to 2 inches are expected, bringing storm totals to 4 to
8 inches. Additional areas of flooding and mudslides will be
possible, especially in areas of steep terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Hurricane Nolo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_cp2.shtml?rainqpf
 
STORM SURGE: The threat of significant storm surge has diminished,
yet water levels along the coast will remain elevated through
upcoming tide cycles due to persistent, dangerous wave action.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Nolo are affecting exposed east- and
south-facing shores of the Big Island and are expected to spread
westward and build through the weekend. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.