Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

178
WTPZ22 KNHC 252051
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026
2100 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 109.2W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  913 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 155 KT WITH GUSTS TO 190 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 150SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 109.2W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 108.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.4N 110.6W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.2N 112.1W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.6N 113.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 21.5N 113.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 23.4N 113.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 25.1N 112.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 28.5N 109.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 32.0N 105.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 109.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z