Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

952
WTPZ22 KNHC 240242
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026
0300 UTC THU SEP 24 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 102.4W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  923 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  35SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  45NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 102.4W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 102.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.5N 103.7W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.9N 105.6W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.1N 107.5W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.3N 109.4W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.9N 111.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.2N 112.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 22.5N 113.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 25.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 102.4W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 24/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z