Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

259
WTPA22 PHFO 231448
TCMCP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP152026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC WED SEP 23 2026
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 154.4W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 154.4W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 154.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.7N 155.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.0N 155.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.7N 155.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.7N 154.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.6N 154.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.2N 154.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 18.1N 157.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 18.7N 160.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 154.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z