Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

934
WTPZ22 KNHC 230249
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026
0300 UTC WED SEP 23 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 101.3W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   1 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  905 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  35SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  55SE  55SW  45NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  90SE  90SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 180SE 135SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 101.3W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 101.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.0N 101.6W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  55SE  50SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.9N 102.8W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.4N 104.3W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.6N 106.1W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.8N 108.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 18.2N 112.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 20.9N 113.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 101.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 23/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z