Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

307
WTPZ22 KNHC 222041
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026
2100 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 101.5W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  892 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 155 KT WITH GUSTS TO 190 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  30SE  30SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 101.5W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 101.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.0N 101.8W
MAX WIND 160 KT...GUSTS 195 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  50SE  45SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.5N 102.4W
MAX WIND 160 KT...GUSTS 195 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.2N 103.6W
MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 190 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.7N 105.2W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.0N 106.9W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.4N 108.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.7N 111.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 21.8N 113.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 101.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 23/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z