Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

013
WTNT21 KNHC 201455
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062026
1500 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  33.0W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  33.0W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N  33.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 34.3N  32.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.9N  32.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 32.9N  32.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 31.7N  34.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 30.6N  35.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 29.8N  37.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 28.8N  41.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N  33.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z