Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

292
ABPZ20 KNHC 112126 CCA
TWOEP 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Sep 11 2026
Corrected 48 hour probability category for EP97.
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Norbert, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.
Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles 
to the southeast of the Hawaiian Islands are associated with a broad 
trough of low pressure. Some gradual development of this system is 
possible over the next few days while it moves generally northward 
and then meanders to the southeast of the Hawaiian Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Central and Western East Pacific (EP97):
Showers and thunderstorms are becoming better organized in 
association with a broad area of low pressure located several 
hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Gradual 
development of this system is likely, and a tropical depression is 
expected to form late this weekend or early next week while it moves 
generally west-northwestward to westward over the central and 
western portions of the East Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.