Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

158
WTPZ24 KNHC 100233
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142026
0300 UTC THU SEP 10 2026
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 116.6W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 116.6W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 116.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.7N 118.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.8N 121.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  10SE  10SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.8N 123.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  10SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 16.7N 126.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 17.0N 128.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.4N 129.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 18.0N 133.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 18.1N 136.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 116.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z