Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

619
WTPZ24 KNHC 092031
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142026
2100 UTC WED SEP 09 2026
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.2W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.2W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 114.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.9N 117.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.8N 119.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.7N 122.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.6N 124.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.9N 126.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.2N 127.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 17.4N 130.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 17.9N 133.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 115.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z