Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

187
WTPZ23 KNHC 042034
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132026
2100 UTC FRI SEP 04 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 118.6W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 150SW 170NW.
4 M SEAS....315NE 270SE 270SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 118.6W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 118.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.9N 119.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 140SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.8N 120.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 140SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.6N 121.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.3N 122.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 24.0N 123.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 24.7N 124.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 26.6N 126.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 29.5N 128.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 118.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z