Tropical Cyclone Discussion

667
WTNT45 KNHC 020232
TCDAT5
 
Tropical Depression Edouard Discussion Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052026
1000 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

Edouard has remained well-organized in radar imagery as it moves 
farther inland over southeastern Texas. However, the convective 
cloud tops near the center are gradually, if unsteadily warming, 
and Doppler wind velocities near the center have decreased during 
the last hour or so. Based on this, it is estimated that Edouard 
has weakened to a tropical depression. It should be noted that 
there have been no reports of winds or pressures from the storm 
core area after it passed Beaumont, Texas.

Continued weakening is expected as the center moves farther inland, 
and the dynamical guidance suggests that the surface center should 
dissipate between 18-36 h. The intensity forecast thus calls for 
the system to last 24 h before dissipation. 

Edouard is moving northwestward or 315/7 kt and will remain on this 
heading through early Wednesday, bringing the center farther inland 
over eastern Texas. This general motion should continue until the 
surface center dissipates.

This is the last tropical cyclone discussion issued by the National 
Hurricane Center on this system.  Future information on this system 
can be found in discussions issued by the Weather Prediction Center 
beginning at 400 AM CDT, under AWIPS header TCDAT5, WMO header 
WTNT45 KWNH, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov.

Rainfall forecasts for the United States can always be found at 
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml 
and outlooks of flash flood risks can be found at 
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php
.
 
 
Key Messages:
 
1. Wind gusts to tropical-storm force are likely near the center of 
Edouard for the next several hours.
 
2. Heavy rain will impact parts of the Upper Texas coast through 
east-central Texas into far Southwest Louisiana through Thursday 
morning as Edouard continues to track inland. Flash flooding is 
likely across this region, especially in urban areas. Significant 
flash flooding is possible. River flooding may also be possible.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  02/0300Z 30.5N  94.6W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 12H  02/1200Z 31.2N  95.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 24H  03/0000Z 32.2N  95.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  03/1200Z...DISSIPATED