Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

687
WTPZ21 KNHC 010232
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112026
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 126.6W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  35SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 180SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 126.6W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 126.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.2N 128.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.5N 130.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.9N 132.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.3N 134.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.7N 136.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.0N 137.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.9N 141.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.3N 144.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 126.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z