Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

454
WTPZ21 KNHC 312039
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112026
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 125.8W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  35SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 180SE 180SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 125.8W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 125.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.7N 127.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.1N 129.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.5N 131.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.9N 133.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.3N 135.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.6N 136.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  55SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 20.3N 140.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  55SE  50SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 21.5N 144.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  45SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 125.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z