Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

608
WTPZ21 KNHC 311454
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112026
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 125.1W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  35SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 180SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 125.1W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 124.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.6N 126.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.0N 128.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.4N 130.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.8N 132.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.2N 134.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.5N 136.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  55SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 20.2N 139.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  55SE  50SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 21.1N 143.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  45SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 125.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z