Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

741
ABPZ20 KNHC 311124
TWOEP 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Aug 31 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Karina, located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja 
California Peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located well 
east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. 
Well Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP95):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in 
association with a broad area of low pressure located several 
hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico.  
Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a 
tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form later 
today or tonight, while the system moves northwestward around 10 
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Central Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form well south or southwest of the 
Hawaiian Islands in a couple of days. Some gradual development is 
possible thereafter while it moves slowly and erratically.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.