Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

284
WTPZ21 KNHC 310837
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112026
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 124.4W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  942 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 55NE  45SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  80SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 180SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 124.4W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 124.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.4N 125.8W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.7N 127.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.1N 129.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.6N 131.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.1N 133.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.4N 135.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 20.0N 139.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 21.0N 143.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 124.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z