Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

215
WTPA24 PHFO 310833
TCMCP4
 
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 144.2W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  60SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 45NE   0SE  30SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 144.2W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 143.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 13.0N 145.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 13.2N 147.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.4N 149.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 13.7N 151.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 14.0N 153.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.4N 155.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 15.1N 158.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  60SW 110NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 15.6N 160.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 144.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z