Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

881
ABNT20 KNHC 310531
TWOAT 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Aug 31 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northern Gulf of America (AL97):
An area of low pressure over the northern Gulf of America, located 
more than 100 miles south of the coast of southern Louisiana  
continues to produce a small but concentrated area of showers and 
thunderstorms. Earlier satellite wind data indicated that the 
circulation has not become much better defined from yesterday while 
producing winds of 30 to 35 mph. Regardless, additional development 
is anticipated as the low moves slowly west-northwestward, and a 
short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form 
before the system reaches the Upper Texas or southwestern Louisiana 
coasts by tonight or Tuesday morning.
Interests along the southwest Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts 
should monitor the progress of this system, as tropical storm 
watches or warnings could be required for portions of the area later 
today. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring 
locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Upper Texas and 
southwestern Louisiana coasts during the next several days. An Air 
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate 
the system later this morning. Additional information on this 
system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts 
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands (Remnants of Dolly):
The remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, a surface trough of low 
pressure, continues to produce an area of showers and thunderstorms 
from Hispaniola eastward to the northern Leeward Islands. Strong 
upper-level winds are expected to prevent redevelopment of this 
system over the next day or two while it moves quickly westward to 
west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph. Conditions could become more 
conducive for redevelopment by the middle of the week as the system 
reaches the southern Bahamas or Florida Straits. Regardless, the 
system could bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions 
of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and 
Hispaniola over the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php