Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

195
WTPZ21 KNHC 301448
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112026
1500 UTC SUN AUG 30 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 122.1W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE  90SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....330NE 300SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 122.1W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 121.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 17.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 17.6N 125.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.8N 126.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.1N 128.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.6N 130.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.1N 131.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 20.0N 135.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 21.0N 138.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 122.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z